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Wednesday, July 29, 2020 | History

4 edition of Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects found in the catalog.

Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects

Ciret Conference 1995 (Singapore)

Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects

Selected Papers Presented at the 22nd Ciret Conference, Singapore 1995

by Ciret Conference 1995 (Singapore)

  • 371 Want to read
  • 39 Currently reading

Published by Avebury .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • International economics,
  • Microeconomics,
  • Economic surveys,
  • Business/Economics,
  • China,
  • South East Asia,
  • Congresses,
  • Business Cycles,
  • Economic forecasting

  • Edition Notes

    ContributionsKarl Heinrich Oppenlander (Editor), Gunter Poser (Editor)
    The Physical Object
    FormatHardcover
    Number of Pages445
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL8623040M
    ISBN 101859722679
    ISBN 109781859722671

      This book is for people who want to work in this area. It is called Basic Methods of Policy Analysis and Planning because it is intended as the first book a beginning analyst will use in building a portfolio of methods to approach knotty public policy problems. QUICK. BASIC POLICY ANALYSIS  Web view. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. JBES contains applied statistical analyses of microeconomic, macroeconomic, forecasting, business, and finance-related topics. Articles include significant results, high-quality methodological content, excellent exposition, and a substantive empirical application. ASA Member ://

    The Explanatory Power of Business Cycle Surveys(1st Edition) Papers Presented at the 21st Ciret Conference Proceedings, Stellenbosch, by Gunter Poser, Karl Heinrich Oppenlander, Karl Heinrich Oppenländer, K. H. Oppenlaender, Günter Poser Hardcover, Pages, Published by Avebury ISBN , ISBN: 1. Introduction. Many central banks conduct surveys which yield regional and sectoral information on the general economic outlook. Following the example of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, which was implemented in , and the Bank of England’s Agents survey, which begun in , other central banks such as the Bank of Canada, Norges Bank, Sveriges Riksbank, and the Swiss National Bank

      business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting. It draws on over twenty years of experience by the OECD Secretariat in using business tendency surveys for economic analysis and in helping non-member economies to implement such Box 1: The benzodiazepine study [12] 3. The Empirical Cycle in Qualitative and Statistical Surveys One recurring statement says that qualitative research differs from quantitative research based on the iteration of data collection and analysis in one project: the qualitative researcher starts with some data collection, analyzes them, develops a hypothesis about the subject, and then samples


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Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects by Ciret Conference 1995 (Singapore) Download PDF EPUB FB2

Get this from a library. Business cycle surveys: forecasting issues and methodological aspects: selected papers presented at the 22nd CIRET Conference, Singapore Business cycle surveys: forecasting issues and methodological aspects: selected papers presented at the 22nd Ciret Conference, Singapore edited by Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects, Sinegapor The Explanatory Power of Business Cycle Surveys, Stellenbosch Business Cycle Analysis by Means of Economic Surveys, Budapest Business Cycle Surveys with Special reference to Pacific Basin Economies, Osaka Contributions of Business Cycle Business cycle forecasting Business cycle forecasting Westlund, Anders H.

Stockholm School o f Economics, Stockholm, Sweden ABSTRACT Business cycle forecasting involves several different methodological problems.

Some of these are discussed in the current issue of this journal and are introduced in this :// Business Cycle Indicators and Opinion Survey Data', in K.H.

Oppenländer and G. Poser (eds) Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects, Carlson (a) ‘Inflation and Asymmetric Price Adjustment’,   Business Cycle Surveys: Forecasting Issues and Methodological Aspects, Selected Papers Presented at the 22nd Ciret Conference, Singapore,Edited by Karl Heinrich Oppenlander & Gunter Poser, Ashgate Publishing Limited, Aldershot England, ISBNVan Zyl G & De Wet M., The Incorporation of Hardus van   In Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, the editors, James H.

Stock and Mark W. Watson, have compiled a collection of eight time-series forecasting papers that were originally presented at a conference of the National Bureau of Economic Research in May of The individual papers in this volume can be grouped into three broad ://+Cycles.

Introduction to "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting": James H. Stock, Mark W. Watson (p. 1 - 10) (bibliographic info) 1.

Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance: Victor Zarnowitz, Phillip Braun (p. 11 - 94) (bibliographic info) (download) (Working   Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance,” Zamowitz and Braun use these data to study the performance of professional forecasters over this period.

The authors start by discussing the uses and his- tory of economic forecasting and by providing a 1 day ago  The essence of survey method can be explained as “questioning individuals on a topic or topics and then describing their responses”.In business studies survey method of primary data collection is used in order to test concepts, reflect attitude of people, establish the level of customer satisfaction, conduct segmentation research and a set of other ://   definition, scope, coverage and methodological issues relating to business cycle analysis.

Section III discusses the availability and limitations of relevant economic indicators in the Indian context. It also discusses the further efforts to be made to aid the development of reliable coincident, leading and lagging indicators for Indian :// The journal benefits both theoretical and applied economists in academic research on business cycles, as well as economists in central banking and in institutions engaged in economic forecasting.

An international journal devoted to the latest advances in economic tendency and business cycle research “Economic, Business and Management Aspects of Sustainability” is the most populated section of the journal and also the oldest.

Our papers address new empirical findings that are of interest to a broader audience, theoretical analyses explaining new phenomena or puzzles, or the development of theoretical or empirical methods likely to be useful for further research—all within the effects Downloadable.

The aim of this work is to explain and assess the results of the application of the TRAMO-SEATS seasonal adjustment method on the data of the ISAE manufacturing business and consumer surveys.

In particular, the study begins by focusing on the description of some of the typical problems of the seasonal adjustment of qualitative series, in relation to the operational choices to be Concepts, issues and methodological issues Article (PDF Available) in Energy Policy 24(5) May with Reads How we measure 'reads'   The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy.

In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series ://   Chapters in this book: Introduction to "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting", pp James Stock and Mark Watson Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance, pp 11 :nbr:nberbk:stoc    The book is structured based on a Business Process Model that was first adapted from the overall Statistical Business Process Model to reflect National accounting processes, and then an abridged version was created specific to the Backcasting process.

The need for long time series 1. The Uses for Historical Macroeconomic Data   Chapter Three: Research Methodology Introduction The way in which research is conducted may be conceived of in terms of the research philosophy subscribed to, the research strategy employed and so the research instruments utilised (and perhaps developed) in the pursuit of a goal - The Journal of Official Statistics (JOS) is a quarterly peer-reviewed scientific journal published by Statistics Sweden.

JOS publishes research articles on survey methodology and other aspects of production of official statistics. The intended readers are researchers and practitioners in academia, government, business or research organisations ?language=en.

This approach to evaluation focuses on theoretical rather than methodological issues. The basic idea is to use the “program’s rationale or theory as the basis of an evaluation to understand the program’s development and impact” (Smith,p.

83). By developing a plausible model of how the program is supposed to work, the evaluator This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis.

The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance.

The introduction surveys   Finally, many macroeconomic issues involve uncertainty. Therefore, we spend some time on how to introduce it into our models, both mathematically and in terms of eco-nomic concepts. The second part of the course notes goes over some important macroeconomic topics.

These involve growth and business cycle analysis, asset pricing, flscal policy